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系数水平,以及不同预测方法对全社会用电量的预测结果,综合判断:预计2026年全国全社会用电量为10.9万亿千瓦时至11万亿千瓦时,同比增长5%至6%;全年统调最高用电负荷在15.7亿千瓦至16.3亿千瓦。在“双碳”目标下,新能源继续保持较大投产规模。中电联专家预计,2026年全年新增发电装机有望超过4亿千瓦。其中:新增新能源发电装机有望超过3亿千瓦;新增有效发电能力1亿千瓦左右,与最大负荷增量基本

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