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国泰海通发布研报称,调整小米集团-W(01810)FY2025E-FY2027E的营业收入分别为4823/6347/7506亿人民币(前值为4891/6418/7584亿人民币);调整经调整净利润预测为436/679/833亿人民币(前值为454/681/836亿人民币)。调整小米集团目标价至65.7港元,维持“增持”评级。  该行表示,汽车交付量逐月爬坡,预计Q3小米汽车交付量接近10.9万台。

叠加产线降本增效效果显著,该行预计小米汽车有望在Q3实现经营利润层面盈利。  据IDC,25Q3全球智能手机出货量同比+2.6%,其中小米手机全球出货量同比+1.8%至4350万台,市场份额13.5%,同比-0.1  pct。中国市场方面,25Q3小米手机出货量同比-1.7%至1000万台。受中国区销售占比环比下滑、存储涨价影响,该行预计Q3小米手机毛利率环比小幅下滑0.5  pct至11%。据卢

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